FORECAST DISCUSSION: After a mostly dry start to the morning, showers are starting to develop over the Gulf of Mexico and track northeast. Rain chances will be rising, especially after noon. We expect scattered showers and storms this afternoon, but no severe weather threat. Some storms may produce heavy rain and frequent lightning. A stalled front along with a subtropical high building towards the east coast are the culprit for increased moisture and elevated rain chances this week. Our typical summertime pattern may not return until early next week.