New Tropical Depression forms in the Caribbean Sea

Tropical Depression Sixteen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162017
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 04 2017

...TORRENTIAL RAINS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM
THE DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 82.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua to Punta Castilla Honduras

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.

Interests elsewhere in Honduras, the Bay Islands, western Cuba and
the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of the depression.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen
was located by aircraft reconnaissance near latitude 12.3 North,
longitude 82.3 West.  The depression is moving toward the northwest
near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue
today.  On the forecast track, the depression should be nearing the
coast of Nicaragua early Thursday, move across northeastern
Nicaragua and eastern Honduras late Thursday, and emerge into the
northwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The depression is expected to become a tropical storm later
today or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall amounts of 15 to 20 inches are expected across
portions of Nicaragua, with isolated maximum amounts of 30 inches
possible.  Across Costa Rica and Panama, 5 to 10 inches of rain are
expected, with isolated maximum totals of around 20 inches possible.
Across Honduras, rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches, with isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches are expected.  This rainfall could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to start in the
warning area in Nicaragua early on Thursday, and spread into
Honduras late Thursday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

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